Dubai Real Estate Market Report

June, 2026 Analysis

Fateh Almsaddi, The Founder of DXBinteract

27, Jul 2026

Key takeaways

  • On the apartment, villa and commercial basis, June volume fell 16% year on year to 13,699 deals and value fell 40% to AED 28.00 billion.
  • Villas drove the downturn: 1,522 sales, down 50% in volume and 60% in value — the lowest June volume since 2020.
  • Commercial was the only category to grow, with 477 deals (+21%) and AED 2.33 billion in value (+126%), the highest June volume since 2014.
  • Prices held firm — apartment and villa median price per square foot each eased just 2% — so value declines were driven by lower volumes and a shift in what sold.
  • New-build sales made up 75% of volume, while resale contributed a disproportionate 33% of value from just 25% of deals.
  • Rental leasing boomed, with new apartment contracts up 46.29% to 14,121, even as headline new rents dipped slightly.
  • Supply skewed to completions: 4,093 units delivered versus 2,696 launched, a net 1,397 more units handed over.

Dubai Real Estate Market Report – June 2026

Dubai's sales market pulled back sharply in June 2026. Measured on the apartment, villa and commercial basis, transaction volume fell 16% year on year to 13,699 deals, while value dropped 40% to AED 28.00 billion — a retreat far steeper in money terms than in count. Across every property type, including plots and buildings, the month closed with 13,933 transactions worth AED 33.21 billion at a median of AED 1,689/sqft.

The headline weakness, though, masks a market that held its pricing. The decline was concentrated in villas and amplified by a shift in what changed hands, rather than any broad erosion in per-square-foot values.

Headline figures

SegmentTransactionsValueMedian price
All sales13,933AED 33.21 billionAED 1,689/sqft
Primary (off-plan & developer)10,398AED 21.62 billionAED 1,715/sqft
Resale (secondary)3,535AED 11.59 billionAED 1,540/sqft

Year-on-year performance by category

CategoryVolumeYoYValueYoYMedian price/sqftYoY
Apartment11,700-10%AED 17.87 billion-33%AED 1,702/sqft-2%
Villa1,522-50%AED 7.80 billion-60%AED 1,485/sqft-2%
Commercial477+21%AED 2.33 billion+126%AED 3,001/sqft+72%

Villas drove the decline. Just 1,522 villas sold in June, down 50% year on year, with value off 60% to AED 7.80 billion — the lowest June volume since 2020. The median villa ticket eased 24% to AED 3,100,000. This single category accounts for most of the market's year-on-year shortfall.

Apartments softened more gently and remain the backbone of activity. Volume slipped 10% to 11,700 sales and value fell 33% to AED 17.87 billion, while the median ticket came in at AED 1,038,187, down 19%. Crucially, the apartment median price held at AED 1,702/sqft, only 2% below a year ago and still 39% above the 2014 base.

Commercial was the sole category to grow, and it grew emphatically. Volume rose 21% to 477 deals — the highest June volume since 2014 — and value more than doubled, up 126% to AED 2.33 billion. Commercial pricing set a record too: at AED 3,001/sqft (up 72% and 198% above 2014), it marked the highest June price per square foot in the 13-year series, with the median ticket up 64% to AED 2,796,058.

The through-line is that prices held even as value fell. Both apartment and villa median price per square foot slipped only 2%, so the steep value declines reflect thinner transaction counts and a mix shift toward smaller or lower-priced units — visible in median tickets falling far faster than per-square-foot rates — rather than a genuine drop in prices.

Every category, including plots and buildings

CategoryTransactionsValueMedian price/sqftMedian price
Apartment11,700AED 17.87 billionAED 1,702/sqftAED 1,038,187
Villa1,522AED 7.80 billionAED 1,485/sqftAED 3,100,000
Plot230AED 5.20 billionAED 802/sqftAED 7,200,000
Commercial477AED 2.33 billionAED 3,001/sqftAED 2,796,058
Building4AED 4.75 millionAED 928/sqftAED 1,197,505

Beyond the three headline categories, plots were a meaningful value contributor: 230 plot transactions generated AED 5.20 billion at a median ticket of AED 7,200,000 and AED 802/sqft, reflecting large-lot deal sizes. Building sales, by contrast, were negligible — just 4 deals worth AED 4.75 million.

Primary versus resale

New-build sales dominated, at 75% of volume and 67% of value — 10,272 primary deals worth AED 18.73 billion. Resale accounted for 25% of volume but a larger 33% of value (3,427 deals, AED 9.28 billion), an 8-point gap that shows secondary-market trades skewed toward higher-value stock.

Where the activity was

#Area by valueValueArea by volumeTransactions
1Dubai SouthAED 3.12 billionDubai South2,917
2Business BayAED 2.22 billionJabal Ali First1,154
3Al Thanyah FifthAED 1.43 billionAl Barsha South Fourth764
4Jabal Ali FirstAED 1.41 billionWadi Al Safa 5526
5Dubai IslandsAED 1.03 billionAl Thanyah Fifth499

Dubai South led on both measures, topping value at AED 3.12 billion and volume at 2,917 transactions. Business Bay ranked second by value (AED 2.22 billion), followed by Al Thanyah Fifth (AED 1.43 billion) and Jabal Ali First (AED 1.41 billion) — the latter also second by volume at 1,154 deals.

Rental market

Leasing told a different story from sales. New contracts surged across every segment — apartment new leases up 46.29% to 14,121, villa up 35.15% to 2,261 and commercial up 27.55% to 1,949 — yet headline new rents softened slightly, with the median apartment new rent at AED 70,000, down 2.78%. Renewals, by contrast, firmed: apartment renewal rents rose 3.89% to AED 61,086.

CategoryTypeContractsYoYMedian rentYoYMedian rent/sqftYoY
ApartmentNew14,121+46.29%AED 70,000-2.78%AED 91/sqft-4.21%
ApartmentRenewal15,258+22.39%AED 61,086+3.89%AED 74/sqft+8.82%
VillaNew2,261+35.15%AED 180,000-2.70%AED 72/sqft0%
VillaRenewal2,170+24.14%AED 166,329+7.31%AED 64/sqft+6.67%
CommercialNew1,949+27.55%AED 120,000-9.43%AED 126/sqft-3.82%
CommercialRenewal2,469+26.29%AED 120,000+4.35%AED 108/sqft+6.93%

Supply

Deliveries outpaced launches this month: 4,093 units were handed over across 13 projects against 2,696 units launched across 7 projects — a launch-to-delivery ratio of 0.7 and a net 1,397 more units delivered than launched.

Launched

  • Kyomi Residence – Warsan Fourth (Anax), 121 units
  • Arancia Yards By Beyond - Building C – Wadi Al Safa 4 (Beyond), 282 units
  • Raw District By Imtiaz R - Building B – Jebel Ali (Imtiaz), 656 units
  • 1wood Residence 2 – Al Barsha South Fourth (Object One), 209 units
  • Azra Residence – Wadi Al Safa 5 (Enaam), 126 units
  • The Hudson – Al Barsha South Fourth (Crystal Group), 96 units
  • Raw District By Imtiaz Cr - Building D – Jebel Ali (Imtiaz), 1,206 units

Delivered

  • Tulip Oasis 10 – Wadi Al Safa 3 (Ame Development), 130 units
  • Vyb – Business Bay (Ginco), 181 units
  • Azizi Central – Jabal Ali First (Azizi), 97 units
  • Golf Residences By Fortimo – Hadaeq Sheikh Mohammed Bin Rashid (Fortimo), 200 units
  • Eome – Palm Jumeirah (Blue Haven), 24 units
  • Elvira 2 – Hadaeq Sheikh Mohammed Bin Rashid (Emaar), 902 units
  • Sunrise Living At Jumeirah Park – Al Thanyah Fifth (Sunrise Valley), 161 units
  • Samana Miami – Al Barsha South Fourth (Samana), 93 units
  • Peninsula Four – Business Bay (Select Group), 1,040 units
  • Golf Heights – Al Thanyah Third (Emaar), 281 units
  • Erin – Al Wasl (Meraas), 202 units
  • Damac Lagoons - Malta (1) – Al Hebiah Fifth (Damac), 760 units
  • Alba – Wadi Al Safa 2 (Tiger), 22 units

Most expensive sales

Top apartment sales

  1. AED 53,000,000 – Baccarat Residence T2, Downtown Dubai
  2. AED 45,000,000 – Peninsula Dubai Residences - Tower 2, Jumeirah Second
  3. AED 42,545,000 – Solaya 5, Jumeirah First
  4. AED 40,000,000 – Baccarat Residence T1, Downtown Dubai
  5. AED 33,500,000 – The Address Residences Dubai Opera T2, Downtown Dubai

Top villa sales

  1. AED 88,800,000 – Hadaeq Sheikh Mohammed Bin Rashid
  2. AED 86,000,000 – Emirates Living
  3. AED 70,000,000 – World Islands
  4. AED 63,500,000 – Palm Jumeirah
  5. AED 57,000,000 – Wadi Al Safa 3

Notes on methodology

Scope. Headline totals and the category table cover every property category recorded in the data, including Plot and Building. The primary/resale split, top-area rankings and the year-on-year series cover Apartment, Villa and Commercial only, so those figures are deliberately smaller than the headline and should not be added across sections.

Rounding. Headline totals are the authoritative rounded figures. Category-level breakdowns are rounded independently and may not sum exactly to the headline.

Definitions. Price figures are medians, not averages. Year-on-year compares the period against the same period one year earlier. All values in AED; areas in square feet.

June, 2026 Report – FAQ

  • How did Dubai's sales market perform overall in June 2026?

    Activity cooled markedly. On the apartment, villa and commercial basis, transaction volume was down 16% year on year at 13,699 and value fell 40% to AED 28.00 billion. Counting all property types, the month recorded 13,933 deals worth AED 33.21 billion.

    #LIST_BADGE#
  • What was behind the year-on-year drop?

    Villas were the main drag. At 1,522 sales they fell 50% in volume and 60% in value to AED 7.80 billion — the lowest June total since 2020 — and that single category explains most of the market's shortfall.

    #LIST_BADGE#
  • Did property prices actually fall?

    No. Median price per square foot held up: apartments at AED 1,702 and villas at AED 1,485 each slipped only 2% year on year, and both remain well above their 2014 levels, up 39% and 91% respectively. The lower median tickets reflect a change in what sold, not price erosion.

    #LIST_BADGE#
  • Which category grew against the trend?

    Commercial, and strongly. Volume rose 21% to 477 deals — the highest June figure since 2014 — while value jumped 126% to AED 2.33 billion. At AED 3,001/sqft it also set the highest June price per square foot in the 13-year series.

    #LIST_BADGE#
  • How did new-build and resale sales compare?

    Primary sales led with 75% of volume and 67% of value, at 10,272 deals worth AED 18.73 billion. Resale was smaller in count at 3,427 deals but contributed a heavier 33% of value, an 8-point premium over its 25% volume share.

    #LIST_BADGE#
  • What was happening in the rental market?

    Leasing was buoyant even as sales cooled. New contracts rose across the board — apartment new leases up 46.29% to 14,121 — though median new-lease rents softened a touch. Renewal rents, meanwhile, edged higher, with apartment renewals up 3.89% to AED 61,086.

    #LIST_BADGE#
  • Was new supply keeping up with completions?

    Completions ran ahead of new launches. Developers delivered 4,093 units across 13 projects while launching 2,696 across 7, leaving a net 1,397 more units delivered than launched and a launch-to-delivery ratio of 0.7.

    #LIST_BADGE#
  • Where was transaction activity concentrated?

    Dubai South dominated, leading both value at AED 3.12 billion and volume at 2,917 transactions. Business Bay was the next-largest by value at AED 2.22 billion, while Jabal Ali First was strong on both counts with 1,154 deals.

    #LIST_BADGE#